AI Stack Tracker

Critical Minerals

China dominates global critical mineral refinement, controlling approximately 70% of rare earth processing and significant shares of other semiconductor-essential materials.

Measure
Net Refinement Capacity for Semiconductor-Critical Minerals
Competitive Position
China 8
USA & Allies 4
Scores determined by expert panel

Critical Minerals

Upstream materials that gate chipmaking, packaging, and data-center buildout. The structural bottleneck is typically refining and processing capacity, not extraction.

Mining share
Mining Share (%) = (Country mine production / Global mine production) × 100
Refining share
Refining Share (%) = (Country refined output / Global refined output) × 100

What matters in this layer

AI hardware pulls demand from a narrow set of inputs: rare earth elements for magnets, gallium and germanium for compound semiconductors, cobalt and lithium for storage and power systems, and high-purity copper and aluminum for electrical and thermal management.

Concentration risk

Processing and separation steps concentrate in a small number of jurisdictions. This makes export controls and permitting delays systemically important.

Spec and quality

Semiconductor-grade materials require stringent purity and consistency. The constraint is often qualification and process integration, not only tonnage.